"What is the evidence, and what does it mean?" Bill JamesEquivalent Average, R27, Age, On-Base Percentage and Slugging Percentage for every 2003 Blue Jay (and Major League leaders).
Link to Jays page. Link to other Stat Reports.
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The 2003 Toronto Blue Jays
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Games Played By Position:
First Base: Carlos Delgado 147, Tom Wilson 14, Josh Phelps 8,
Frank Catalanotto 5, Bobby Kielty 3, Dave Berg 2,
Howie Clark 2
Second Base: Orlando Hudson 139, Dave Berg 24, Mike Bordick 13,
Howie Clark 3
Shortstop: Chris Woodward 103, Mike Bordick 69, Dave Berg 1,
Howie Clark 1
Third Base: Eric Hinske 124, Mike Bordick 22, Dave Berg 13,
Howie Clark 13
Left Field: Shannon Stewart 65, Frank Catalanotto 61, Reed Johnson 53,
Howie Clark 4, Bobby Kielty 3, Dave Berg 1, Tom Wilson 1
Center Field: Vernon Wells 161, Reed Johnson 5, Jayson Werth 1,
Bobby Kielty 1
Right Field: Reed Johnson 71, Bobby Kielty 62, Frank Catalanotto 43,
Jayson Werth 19, Dave Berg 5, Tom Wilson 1, Howie Clark 1
Catcher: Greg Myers 81, Tom Wilson 76, Kevin Cash 34, Ken Huckaby 4
Starting Pitcher: Roy Halladay 36, Cory Lidle 31, Mar Hendrickson 30,
Kelvim Escobar 26, Doug Davis 11, Tanyon Sturtze 8,
Josh Towers 8, Pete Walker 7, Corey Thurman 3,
John Wasdin 2
Relief Pitcher: Trever Miller 79, Aquilino Lopez 72, Cliff Politte 54,
Jeff Tam 44, Jason Kershner 40, Tanyon Sturtze 32,
Doug Creek 21, Scott Service 16, Pete Walker 16,
Kelvim Escobar 15, Dan Reichert 15, Juan Acevedo 14,
Doug Linton 7, Josh Towers 6, Brian Bowles 5,
Vinny Chulk 3, Corey Thurman 3, Doug Davis 1,
John Wasdin 1
Designated Hitter: Josh Phelps 107, Greg Myers 22, Frank Catalanotto 21,
Carlos Delgado 14, Dave Berg 7, Howie Clark 7,
Jayson Werth 3, Reed Johnson 2, Tom Wilson 1,
Mike Bordick 1
Manager: Carlos Tosca
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2003 in Context
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In their 2nd-year of reorganizing around _Moneyball_ principles, the Jays'
season was the sum of two sub-.370 slumps and two plus-.700 surges. Pitching
troubles against strong competition led to a poor record as of April 30
(10-18, .357) despite a strong start by Carlos Delgado. Then Vernon Wells
led a resurgent offense, Roy Halladay started a 15-game winning streak,
and the Jays played .708 ball (34-14) and were back in the race (June 23).
But when their supporting cast collapsed, the Jays' 3 All-Stars couldn't
keep the team above a .363 pace (20-35). Against softer competition,
dominant pitching led a spirited .710 finish to the season (22-9).
Inspiration continued to come from two teams with Opening Day payrolls
similar to the Jays' $51m making the playoffs (A's $50m, Twins $56m),
while some higher payroll teams had substantially fewer victories
(Rangers $105m, Angels $79m, O's $69m):
Runs Scored Per 9 IP Runs Allowed Per 9 IP Winning Percentage
( 1) Boston 5.91 | ( 1) Seattle 3.98 | ( 1) NYYankees 101-61 .623
( 2) TORONTO 5.61 | ( 2) Oakland 4.01 | ( 2) Oakland 96-66 .593
( 3) NYYankees 5.41 | ( 3) NYYankees 4.42 | ( 3) Boston 95-67 .586
( 4) Kansas City 5.23 | ( 4) White Sox 4.50 | ( 4) Seattle 93-69 .574
( 5) Texas 5.19 | ( 5) Minnesota 4.67 | ( 5) Minnesota 90-72 .556
( 6) White Sox 4.97 | ( 6) Anaheim 4.67 | ( 6) TORONTO 86-76 .531
( 7) Seattle 4.97 | ( 7) Cleveland 4.80 | ( 6) White Sox 86-76 .531
( 8) Minnesota 4.93 | ( 8) Boston 4.97 | ( 8) Kansas City 83-79 .512
( 9) Oakland 4.79 | ( 9) Baltimore 5.10 | ( 9) Anaheim 77-85 .475
(10) Anaheim 4.63 | (10) TORONTO 5.18 | (10) Baltimore 71-91 .438
(11) Baltimore 4.62 | (11) Tampa Bay 5.34 | (10) Texas 71-91 .438
(12) Tampa Bay 4.48 | (12) Kansas City 5.42 | (12) Cleveland 68-94 .420
(13) Cleveland 4.31 | (13) Detroit 5.81 | (13) Tampa Bay 63-99 .389
(14) Detroit 3.70 | (14) Texas 6.08 | (14) Detroit 43-119 .265
Avg 4.91 Avg 4.92 1123-1145
Correcting the above for park factor, the Jays' offense surged to 3rd-best
in the league. The biggest improvements came from center-field and catcher:
Team Equivalent Average:
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
BOS NYY TOR SEA OAK CHW MIN BAL ANA TEX KAN TAM CLE DET
.277 .273 .271 .265 .261 .259 .259 .258 .258 .258 .257 .251 .248 .237
Correcting runs allowed for park factor, the Jays' pitching & defense was
3% worse than average, not much improved from the previous year. 2 of
the top-3 defensive teams did not make the playoffs:
Opponents' Equivalent Average:
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
SEA OAK CHW NYY MIN BOS ANA CLE KAN TOR BAL TAM TEX DET
.243 .243 .249 .252 .253 .259 .259 .259 .261 .263 .269 .270 .275 .284
The park factors are based 50% on 2003, 25% on 2002, and 25% on 1999-2001
data (except when the park changed). SkyDome is rated as modestly
favoring the hitters. The "Eq" stats in this article (EqA, EqR, REqA,
CEqA, DEqA) reflect park (and league average) adjustments:
Park Factors ((PF-1)*100, hitters' parks first):
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
KAN TEX TOR BOS CHW MIN TAM CLE NYY OAK ANA SEA BAL DET
9.5 8.0 2.8 2.5 1.7 1.6 -.9 -1.6 -2.5 -3.6 -3.8 -4.1 -4.6 -5.4
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'03 Hitters
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Carlos Delgado was the Jays' best hitter for the 4th year in a row. Vernon
Wells had a breakout season. No other player had even 550 plate appearances,
which was an issue with some fans in the case of potential star Josh Phelps.
The money saved by not offering arbitration to Jose Cruz was used to pick up
Frank Catalanotto (who had a slightly higher EqA, though in fewer plate
appearances) and veteran Mike Bordick (who outplayed starting shortstop
Chris Woodward). Lack of full-time commitments also allowed the Jays to take
advantage of a hot bat from AAA when the opportunity presented itself
(Reed Johnson):
Age EqA BA OBP SLG R27 EqR R RBI HR SB CS PA
Carlos Delgado 31 L 1B .330 .302 .426 .593 8.84 126 117 145 42 0 0 705
Vernon Wells 24 R CF .298 .317 .359 .550 6.85 114 118 117 33 4 1 735
Josh Phelps 25 R DH .278 .268 .358 .470 5.76 60 57 66 20 1 2 453
F. Catalanotto 29 L LF .277 .299 .351 .472 5.68 70 83 59 13 2 2 533
Reed Johnson 26 R RF .268 .294 .353 .427 5.24 55 79 52 10 5 3 456
Eric Hinske 25 L 3B .264 .243 .329 .437 5.04 62 74 63 12 12 2 514
Mike Bordick 37 R SS .252 .274 .340 .382 4.49 40 39 54 5 3 1 379
Orlando Hudson 25 S 2B .250 .268 .328 .395 4.39 55 54 57 9 5 4 521
Chris Woodward 27 R SS .246 .261 .316 .395 4.24 40 49 45 7 1 2 386
The Jays' offense benefited from Greg Myers' career season replacing
Huckaby/Fletcher of a year earlier. At the All-Star Break, free-agent-eligible
Shannon Stewart was traded to the Twins for the patient Bobby Kielty (but their
salaries were not traded):
Age EqA BA OBP SLG R27 EqR R RBI HR SB CS PA
Greg Myers 37 L C .291 .307 .374 .502 6.42 53 51 52 15 0 3 369
Shannon Stewart 29 R LF .271 .294 .345 .449 5.39 42 47 35 7 1 2 339
Bobby Kielty 26 S RF .254 .233 .342 .376 4.59 24 31 25 4 2 1 225
Tom Wilson 32 R C .251 .258 .331 .391 4.45 30 37 35 5 0 0 287
Dave Berg 32 R UT .234 .255 .301 .379 3.72 16 26 18 4 0 1 173
Kevin Cash 25 R C .102 .142 .179 .198 .47 2 10 8 1 0 0 112
Age EqA BA OBP SLG R27 EqR R RBI HR SB CS PA
Howie Clark 29 L UT .281 .357 .400 .429 5.93 10 9 7 0 0 1 75
Jayson Werth 24 R OF .231 .208 .255 .417 3.60 5 7 10 2 1 0 51
The Pitchers .185 .207 .207 .345 2.08 2 5 3 1 0 0 29
Ken Huckaby 32 R C .143 .182 .182 .273 1.09 0 1 2 0 0 0 11
Triples:
Frank Catalanotto 6, Orlando Hudson 6, Vernon Wells 5, Eric Hinske 3,
Shannon Stewart 2, Reed Johnson 2, Mike Bordick 2, Chris Woodward 2,
Howie Clark 1, Carlos Delgado 1, Josh Phelps 1, Dave Berg 1,
Bobby Kielty 1
A hand injury to start the season hurt most of Eric Hinske's numbers, except
his doubles total:
Doubles (leaders):
Vernon Wells 49, Eric Hinske 45, Carlos Delgado 38, Frank Catalanotto 34,
Shannon Stewart 22, Chris Woodward 22, Reed Johnson 21, Orlando Hudson 21
Times On Base (Hits + Walks + Hit By Pitch) (leaders):
Carlos Delgado 300, Vernon Wells 264, Frank Catalanotto 187,
Orlando Hudson 171, Eric Hinske 169, Josh Phelps 162, Reed Johnson 161
Outs (AB-H+CS) (leaders):
Vernon Wells 464, Carlos Delgado 398, Orlando Hudson 351,
Frank Catalanotto 345, Eric Hinske 342, Reed Johnson 294, Josh Phelps 292
Strikeout-to-Walk Ratio:
Kevin Cash 5.5, Reed Johnson 3.3, Dave Berg 3.1, Josh Phelps 2.9,
Tom Wilson 2.9, Chris Woodward 2.6, Orlando Hudson 2.2, Vernon Wells 1.9,
Mike Bordick 1.8, Frank Catalanotto 1.8, Eric Hinske 1.8, Greg Myers 1.5,
Carlos Delgado 1.3, Bobby Kielty 1.2, Shannon Stewart 1.1
Games Played (leaders):
Vernon Wells 161, Carlos Delgado 161, Orlando Hudson 142,
Frank Catalanotto 133, Eric Hinske 124, Greg Myers 121, Josh Phelps 119
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'03 Starting Pitchers
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Roy Halladay led the league in innings pitched and appeared to be the Cy Young
favorite. Kelvim Escobar pitched well as a starter after a rough start as the
"closer". Cory Lidle was acquired from the A's before the season for IF Mike
Rouse and RHP Chris Mowday:
Age W L ERA REqA CEqA DEqA dH IP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9
Roy Halladay 26 R 22 7 3.25 .231 .226 .233 -7 266.0 8.6 1.1 .9 6.9
Kelvim Escobar 27 R 13 9 4.29 .252 .257 .244 16 180.3 9.4 3.9 .7 7.9
Doug Davis 27 L 4 6 5.00 .269 .287 .271 6 54.0 11.7 4.3 1.0 4.2
Cory Lidle 31 R 12 15 5.75 .282 .263 .261 4 192.7 10.1 2.8 1.1 5.2
M. Hendrickson 29 L 9 9 5.51 .284 .280 .268 16 158.3 11.8 2.3 1.4 4.3
Josh Towers also pitched 132.2 effective innings for Syracuse (3.32 ERA); he
was a case in which hopes of a pitcher regaining his pre-2002 form worked out:
Age W L ERA REqA CEqA DEqA dH IP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9
Josh Towers 26 R 8 1 4.48 .254 .261 .279 -6 64.3 9.4 1.0 2.1 5.9
Pete Walker 34 R 2 2 4.88 .260 .276 .292 -5 55.3 9.6 3.9 1.8 4.7
Corey Thurman 24 R 1 1 6.46 .287 .308 .285 3 15.3 12.3 5.3 1.8 6.5
John Wasdin 30 R 0 1 23.40 .480 .445 .306 7 5.0 28.8 7.2 3.6 9.0
TORONTO 86 76 4.69 .263 .262 .260 37 1435. 9.8 3.0 1.2 6.2
Games Started:
Roy Halladay 36, Cory Lidle 31, Mark Hendrickson 30, Kelvim Escobar 26,
Doug Davis 11, Tanyon Sturtze 8, Josh Towers 8, Pete Walker 7,
Corey Thurman 3, John Wasdin 2
Complete Games:
Roy Halladay 9, Cory Lidle 2, Kelvim Escobar 1, Josh Towers 1
Innings Pitched Per Game (IP/G):
Roy Halladay 7.4, Cory Lidle 6.2, Mark Hendrickson 5.3, Josh Towers 4.6,
Doug Davis 4.5, Kelvim Escobar 4.4, Corey Thurman 2.6, Pete Walker 2.4,
John Wasdin 1.7
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'03 Relief Pitchers
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The Jays' 3 effective relievers were said to be found in part by "statistical
scouting": a Rule V pick from Seattle (Aquilino Lopez), a six-year minor
league free agent from the Reds organization (Trever Miller), and a waiver
claim from the Padres (Jason Kershner, whom the Jays themselves designated for
assignment earlier in the year (but no one claimed), and who also pitched 45.2
effective innings for Syracuse):
Age W L ERA REqA CEqA DEqA dH IP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9
Jason Kershner 26 L 3 3 3.17 .224 .216 .251 -10 54.0 7.2 2.5 .8 5.3
Aquilino Lopez 28 R 1 3 3.42 .232 .227 .243 -6 73.7 7.1 4.2 .6 7.8
Trever Miller 30 L 2 2 4.61 .261 .255 .270 -4 52.7 7.9 4.8 1.2 7.5
Cliff Politte 29 R 1 5 5.66 .275 .272 .280 -1 49.3 9.5 3.1 2.0 7.3
Jeff Tam 32 R 0 4 5.64 .279 .291 .271 7 44.7 11.7 5.0 1.0 5.2
Tanyon Sturtze 32 R 7 6 5.94 .292 .287 .281 5 89.3 10.8 4.3 1.4 5.4
Sturtze, Tam and Creek were signed in hopes of regaining their pre-2002 form
(they didn't). 38-year-old Doug Linton was a low-cost statistical signing
that didn't amount to much (5.28 ERA in 109 innings for Syracuse); John Wasdin
was another such case:
Age W L ERA REqA CEqA DEqA dH IP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9
Doug Linton 38 R 0 0 3.00 .211 .248 .288 -2 9.0 7.0 4.0 2.0 7.0
Doug Creek 34 L 0 0 3.29 .236 .294 .295 0 13.7 9.2 7.9 1.3 7.2
Scott Service 36 R 0 0 4.50 .248 .268 .259 1 16.0 9.6 3.4 1.7 9.6
Vinny Chulk 24 R 0 0 5.06 .260 .257 .249 0 5.3 10.1 5.1 .0 3.4
Brian Bowles 26 R 0 0 2.57 .262 .281 .292 0 7.0 10.3 2.6 1.3 2.6
Juan Acevedo 33 R 1 2 4.26 .273 .300 .258 4 12.7 12.8 5.7 .7 6.4
Dan Reichert 26 R 0 0 6.06 .290 .325 .260 8 16.3 15.4 4.4 1.1 7.2
Relief Appearances:
Trever Miller 79, Aquilino Lopez 72, Cliff Politte 54, Jeff Tam 44,
Jason Kershner 40, Tanyon Sturtze 32, Doug Creek 21, Scott Service 16,
Pete Walker 16, Kelvim Escobar 15, Dan Reichert 15, Juan Acevedo 14,
Doug Linton 7, Josh Towers 6, Brian Bowles 5, Vinny Chulk 3,
Corey Thurman 3, Doug Davis 1, John Wasdin 1
Saves:
Aquilino Lopez 14, Cliff Politte 12, Kelvim Escobar 4, Trever Miller 4,
Josh Towers 1, Jeff Tam 1
Innings Pitched Per Game (IP/G):
Tanyon Sturtze 2.2, Vinny Chulk 1.8, Brian Bowles 1.4,
Jason Kershner 1.4, Doug Linton 1.3, Dan Reichert 1.1, Aquilino Lopez 1.0,
Jeff Tam 1.0, Scott Service 1.0, Cliff Politte .9, Juan Acevedo .9,
Trever Miller .7, Doug Creek .7
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Where Are They Now?
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Shannon Stewart's time with the Twins correlated with their strong 2nd-half.
Bobby Kielty also hit better with the Twins. Mondesi and Alomar played for a
couple of teams. The 3 traded shortstops didn't hit much:
Age EqA BA OBP SLG R27 EqR R RBI HR SB CS PA
Brad Fullmer ANA .303 .306 .387 .500 6.66 38 32 35 9 5 4 235
Shannon Stewart MIN .288 .322 .382 .470 6.23 42 43 38 6 3 4 301
Raul Mondesi ARZ .284 .302 .372 .512 6.42 25 27 22 8 5 3 183
Shawn Green LAD .282 .280 .355 .460 5.55 95 84 85 19 6 2 691
Raul Mondesi NYY .276 .258 .330 .471 5.36 56 56 49 16 17 7 403
Bobby Kielty MIN .276 .252 .370 .420 5.57 36 40 32 9 6 2 284
John Olerud SEA .274 .269 .372 .390 5.19 79 64 83 10 0 1 632
Jay Gibbons BAL .274 .278 .330 .457 5.14 90 80 100 23 0 1 679
Jose Cruz SFG .272 .250 .366 .414 5.19 81 90 68 20 5 8 648
Michael Young TEX .263 .306 .339 .446 5.28 84 106 72 14 13 2 710
Casey Blake CLE .251 .257 .312 .411 4.28 68 80 67 17 7 9 613
Roberto Alomar NYM .251 .262 .336 .357 4.22 31 34 22 2 6 0 298
Alex S Gonzalez CHC .241 .228 .295 .409 3.94 61 71 59 20 3 3 593
Roberto Alomar CHW .241 .253 .330 .340 3.98 28 42 17 3 6 2 288
Tony Batista BAL .235 .235 .271 .394 3.49 65 76 99 26 3 3 668
Todd Greene TEX .224 .229 .243 .434 3.50 19 25 20 10 0 0 210
Felipe Lopez CIN .218 .213 .313 .299 3.17 18 28 13 2 8 5 227
Cesar Izturis LAD .212 .251 .282 .315 2.74 45 47 40 1 10 5 586
Age EqA BA OBP SLG R27 EqR R RBI HR SB CS PA
Chris Latham NYY .999 1.00 1.00 1.00 99.99 1 3 0 0 1 0 2
Adam Melhuse OAK .316 .299 .372 .584 7.41 15 13 14 5 0 0 86
Marty Cordova BAL .292 .233 .410 .367 6.01 5 5 4 1 1 0 39
Craig Wilson PIT .287 .265 .361 .515 6.25 51 49 48 18 3 1 357
Jeff Kent HOU .278 .297 .351 .509 6.02 74 77 93 22 6 2 552
Ruben Sierra NYY .265 .276 .323 .437 4.84 23 19 31 6 1 0 189
Ryan Freel CIN .263 .285 .344 .431 5.05 18 23 12 4 9 4 151
David Segui BAL .261 .263 .341 .384 4.56 29 26 25 5 1 0 252
Fred McGriff LAD .260 .249 .322 .428 4.55 39 32 40 13 0 0 329
Benito Santiago SFG .259 .279 .329 .424 4.61 50 53 56 11 0 1 434
Kevin Witt DET .251 .263 .301 .407 4.10 32 25 26 10 1 1 289
Ruben Sierra TEX .247 .263 .333 .398 4.50 15 14 12 3 1 1 147
Tomas Perez PHI .244 .265 .316 .383 3.94 33 39 33 5 0 1 323
Chris Stynes COL .241 .255 .335 .413 4.65 48 71 73 11 3 1 499
Mike Matheny STL .237 .252 .320 .356 3.78 46 43 47 8 1 1 490
R. Henderson LAD .236 .208 .321 .306 3.55 8 7 5 2 3 0 84
Miguel Cairo STL .232 .245 .287 .375 3.58 26 41 32 5 4 1 286
Pedro Swann BAL .226 .167 .231 .417 3.19 1 3 2 1 0 0 13
Albert Castillo SFG .223 .200 .200 .467 3.18 1 2 4 1 0 0 15
Orlando Merced HOU .220 .231 .283 .373 3.39 19 20 26 3 3 2 230
Pat Borders SEA .134 .143 .200 .214 .86 0 1 1 0 0 0 15
Brent Abernathy KAN-.147 .074 .107 .074 -1.24 -1 2 0 0 0 0 28
Brent Abernathy TAM-.184 .000 .000 .000 -1.97 -1 1 0 0 1 0 7
Luis Sojo NYY-.205 .000 .000 .000 -2.56 0 0 0 0 0 0 4
W L ERA REqA CEqA DEqA dH IP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9
Paul Quantrill LAD 2 5 1.75 .194 .203 .235 -11 77.3 7.1 1.7 .2 5.1
Esteban Loaiza CHW 21 9 2.90 .211 .221 .228 -6 226.3 7.8 2.2 .7 8.2
Felix Heredia NYY 0 1 1.20 .216 .227 .266 -3 15.0 7.8 3.0 .6 2.4
Doug Davis MIL 3 2 2.58 .221 .258 .277 -5 52.3 8.4 3.6 1.4 6.0
Felix Heredia CIN 5 2 3.00 .227 .242 .273 -12 72.0 7.6 3.5 1.1 5.1
Dan Plesac PHI 2 1 2.70 .230 .240 .236 1 33.3 7.8 3.0 .8 10.0
Scott Eyre SFG 2 1 3.32 .239 .266 .263 1 57.0 9.5 4.1 .6 5.5
Roger Clemens NYY 17 9 3.91 .247 .243 .246 -1 211.7 8.5 2.5 1.0 8.1
David Wells NYY 15 7 4.14 .248 .255 .256 1 213.0 10.2 .8 1.0 4.3
Woody Williams STL 18 9 3.87 .249 .249 .251 -1 220.7 9.0 2.2 .8 6.2
Pat Hentgen BAL 7 8 4.16 .249 .258 .282 -20 155.7 8.4 3.2 1.4 5.6
Graeme Lloyd NYM 1 2 3.31 .251 .251 .247 1 35.3 9.9 1.8 .5 4.3
Scott Service ARZ 0 2 4.91 .259 .239 .202 4 18.3 10.3 1.0 .5 8.8
Brandon Lyon BOS 4 6 4.12 .260 .272 .243 12 59.0 11.1 2.9 .9 7.6
Billy Koch CHW 5 5 5.77 .282 .284 .282 2 53.0 10.0 4.8 1.7 7.1
Juan Acevedo NYY 0 3 7.71 .326 .305 .285 4 25.7 11.9 3.5 1.8 6.7
Doug Davis TEX 0 0 12.00 .360 .377 .404 -1 3.0 12.0 12.0 6.0 6.0
W L ERA REqA CEqA DEqA dH IP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9
Ben Weber ANA 5 1 2.69 .214 .251 .254 -1 80.3 9.4 2.5 .8 5.2
Mark Guthrie CHC 2 3 2.74 .218 .269 .291 -5 42.7 8.4 4.6 1.3 5.1
Dave Weathers NYM 1 6 3.08 .233 .262 .254 5 87.7 8.9 4.1 .6 7.7
Mike Timlin BOS 6 4 3.55 .237 .229 .243 -6 83.7 8.3 1.0 1.2 7.0
Steve Trachsel NYM 16 10 3.78 .248 .260 .276 -16 204.7 9.0 2.9 1.1 4.9
Gary Glover CHW 1 0 4.54 .250 .273 .254 5 35.7 10.9 3.5 .8 5.8
Al Leiter NYM 15 9 3.99 .253 .266 .266 1 180.7 8.8 4.7 .7 6.9
Leo Estrella MIL 7 3 4.36 .254 .277 .286 -3 66.0 10.2 2.9 1.4 3.4
John Bale CIN 1 2 4.47 .259 .265 .261 2 46.3 9.7 2.3 1.4 7.2
Matt Ford MIL 0 3 4.33 .262 .271 .275 0 43.7 9.5 4.3 1.0 5.4
Gary Glover ANA 1 0 5.00 .266 .282 .267 3 27.0 11.3 2.7 1.0 4.7
Steve Parris TAM 0 3 6.18 .293 .309 .311 1 43.7 12.4 2.7 2.5 2.9
Omar Daal BAL 4 11 6.34 .299 .300 .267 22 93.7 12.9 2.9 1.1 5.1
Giovann Carrara SEA 2 0 6.83 .301 .318 .305 3 29.0 12.4 4.3 1.9 4.0
David Cone NYM 1 3 6.50 .303 .310 .314 0 18.0 10.0 6.5 2.0 6.5
Robert Person BOS 0 0 7.71 .308 .250 .239 1 11.7 8.5 6.2 .0 7.7
Jose Mesa PHI 5 7 6.52 .309 .298 .275 9 58.0 11.0 4.8 1.1 7.0
Graeme Lloyd KAN 0 2 10.95 .371 .352 .234 12 12.3 21.2 5.1 .0 5.8
Joey Hamilton CIN 0 0 12.66 .386 .364 .301 6 10.7 17.7 4.2 2.5 5.9
Jim Mann PIT 0 0 10.80 .478 .454 .352 2 1.7 27.0 5.4 5.4 5.4
Pedro Borbon STL 0 1 20.25 .471 .480 .354 5 4.0 31.5 4.5 4.5 .0
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2003 American League Leaders
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Carlos Delgado was probably the best hitter overall in the league (126
Equivalent Runs), but Alex Rodriguez was probably the best player overall
(considering that he also played shortstop):
Top 14 Hitters by EqA (minimum 362 plate appearances):
EqA BA OBP SLG R27 EqR R RBI HR SB CS PA
Manny Ramirez BOS .330 .325 .427 .587 8.82 122 117 104 37 3 1 679
Carlos Delgado TOR .330 .302 .426 .593 8.84 126 117 145 42 0 0 705
Melvin Mora BAL .319 .317 .418 .503 7.50 69 68 48 15 6 3 407
Jason Giambi NYY .318 .250 .411 .526 7.64 116 97 106 41 2 1 686
Milton Bradley CLE .317 .321 .421 .501 7.66 76 61 56 10 17 7 451
Trot Nixon BOS .316 .306 .396 .578 7.91 88 81 87 28 4 2 512
Alex Rodriguez TEX .315 .298 .396 .600 8.26 121 124 118 47 17 3 715
Jorge Posada NYY .313 .281 .405 .518 7.31 97 83 101 30 2 4 588
Frank Thomas CHW .311 .267 .390 .562 7.55 110 87 105 42 0 0 662
Edgar Martinez SEA .311 .294 .405 .489 7.10 96 72 98 24 0 1 602
Nick Johnson NYY .311 .285 .420 .474 7.21 64 59 47 14 4 2 400
David Ortiz BOS .309 .288 .369 .592 7.45 86 79 101 31 0 0 509
Bill Mueller BOS .308 .326 .397 .540 7.43 96 85 85 19 1 4 595
Dmitri Young DET .308 .297 .370 .537 6.85 106 78 85 29 2 1 633
Jays fans believed Roy Halladay was the best pitcher in the league, especially
considering his lead in innings pitched:
Top 14 Starting Pitchers by REqA (minimum 126.0 innings pitched):
W L ERA REqA CEqA DEqA dH IP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9
Pedro Martinez BOS 14 4 2.22 .197 .202 .202 1 186.7 7.1 2.3 .3 9.9
Esteban Loaiza CHW 21 9 2.90 .211 .221 .228 -6 226.3 7.8 2.2 .7 8.2
Johan Santana MIN 12 3 3.07 .217 .221 .232 -7 158.3 7.2 2.7 1.0 9.6
Tim Hudson OAK 16 7 2.70 .221 .217 .242 -29 240.0 7.4 2.3 .6 6.1
Mark Mulder OAK 15 9 3.13 .222 .235 .242 -5 186.7 8.7 1.9 .7 6.2
Jamie Moyer SEA 21 7 3.27 .230 .241 .258 -19 215.0 8.3 2.8 .8 5.4
Roy Halladay TOR 22 7 3.25 .231 .226 .233 -7 266.0 8.6 1.1 .9 6.9
Mike Mussina NYY 17 8 3.43 .233 .227 .234 -6 209.7 8.0 1.7 .9 8.1
Jeremy Affeldt KAN 7 6 3.93 .234 .238 .238 2 126.0 9.0 2.7 .9 7.0
Darrell May KAN 10 8 3.77 .235 .235 .260 -28 210.0 8.4 2.3 1.3 4.9
Bartolo Colon CHW 15 13 3.87 .237 .238 .254 -19 242.0 8.3 2.5 1.1 6.4
C.C. Sabathia CLE 13 9 3.60 .238 .246 .253 -6 197.7 8.7 3.0 .9 6.4
Barry Zito OAK 14 12 3.30 .238 .228 .259 -37 231.7 7.2 3.4 .7 5.7
Ryan Franklin SEA 11 13 3.57 .242 .255 .286 -36 212.0 8.4 2.6 1.4 4.2
Foulke was acquired by the A's in part by trading former Jay Billy Koch (who
was ineffective in 2003):
Top 7 Relievers by REqA (minimum 50 innings or 10 saves):
W L ERA REqA CEqA DEqA dH IP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9
Shiget Hasegawa SEA 2 4 1.48 .163 .219 .254 -13 73.0 7.6 2.2 .6 3.9
Rafael Soriano SEA 3 0 1.53 .166 .164 .191 -5 53.0 5.1 2.0 .3 11.5
B. Donnelly ANA 2 2 1.58 .173 .204 .212 -2 74.0 6.7 2.9 .2 9.6
Damaso Marte CHW 4 2 1.58 .173 .192 .216 -9 79.7 5.6 3.8 .3 9.8
Mariano Rivera NYY 5 2 1.66 .180 .208 .212 -1 70.7 7.8 1.3 .4 8.0
Keith Foulke OAK 9 1 2.08 .191 .206 .242 -15 86.7 5.9 2.1 1.0 9.1
Latroy Hawkins MIN 9 3 1.86 .192 .213 .209 2 77.3 8.0 1.7 .5 8.7
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Theory Stuff, 2003
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Pythagoras thinks the Jays were just 9 wins short of taking the division:
Pythagorean WPct Extra Wins
( 1) SEA 97-65 .600 | ( 1) NYY 5
( 2) NYY 96-66 .592 | ( 2) MIN 5
( 3) OAK 94-68 .581 | ( 3) KAN 5
( 4) BOS 94-68 .578 | ( 4) OAK 2
( 5) CHW 88-74 .546 | ( 5) TEX 2
( 6) TOR 87-75 .536 | ( 6) BOS 1
( 7) MIN 85-77 .525 | ( 7) TOR -1
( 8) ANA 80-82 .496 | ( 8) CHW -2
( 9) KAN 78-84 .483 | ( 9) BAL -3
(10) BAL 74-88 .455 | (10) ANA -3
(11) CLE 73-89 .451 | (11) SEA -4
(12) TEX 69-93 .427 | (12) CLE -5
(13) TAM 68-94 .420 | (13) TAM -5
(14) DET 49-113 .305 | (14) DET -6
Note: PythagWPct = RF^1.83 / ( RF^1.83 + RA^1.83 )
where RF=Runs For and RA=Runs Against
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
National League
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The teams with the top 2 National League Opening Day payrolls did not make
the playoffs (Mets $117m, Dodgers $106m), whereas the team with league's
3rd-lowest payroll did (Marlins $48m):
Runs Scored Per 9 IP Runs Allowed Per 9 IP Winning Percentage
( 1) Atlanta 5.61 | ( 1) Los Angeles 3.43 | ( 1) Atlanta 101-61 .623
( 2) Colorado 5.41 | ( 2)SanFrancisco 3.99 | ( 2)SanFrancisco 100-61 .621
( 3) St. Louis 5.39 | ( 3) Houston 4.20 | ( 3) Florida 91-71 .562
( 4) Houston 5.00 | ( 4) Cubs 4.22 | ( 4) Cubs 88-74 .543
( 5)Philadelphia 4.93 | ( 5) Arizona 4.24 | ( 5) Houston 87-75 .537
( 6)SanFrancisco 4.73 | ( 6) Florida 4.31 | ( 6)Philadelphia 86-76 .531
( 7) Pittsburgh 4.69 | ( 7)Philadelphia 4.35 | ( 7) Los Angeles 85-77 .525
( 8) Florida 4.68 | ( 8) Montreal 4.48 | ( 7) St. Louis 85-77 .525
( 9) Cubs 4.47 | ( 9) Atlanta 4.57 | ( 9) Arizona 84-78 .519
(10) Montreal 4.45 | (10) NYMets 4.80 | (10) Montreal 83-79 .512
(11) Arizona 4.44 | (11) St. Louis 4.89 | (11) Pittsburgh 75-87 .463
(12) Milwaukee 4.42 | (12) Pittsburgh 4.99 | (12) Colorado 74-88 .457
(13) Cincinnati 4.32 | (13) San Diego 5.23 | (13) Cincinnati 69-93 .426
(14) San Diego 4.26 | (14) Milwaukee 5.38 | (14) Milwaukee 68-94 .420
(15) NYMets 4.09 | (15) Cincinnati 5.51 | (15) NYMets 66-95 .410
(16) Los Angeles 3.54 | (16) Colorado 5.65 | (16) San Diego 64-98 .395
Avg 4.65 Avg 4.64 1306-1284
Team Equivalent Average:
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
ATL STL PHI SFG FLA HOU COL PIT SDP CHC MIL NYM CIN MON ARZ LAD
.282 .277 .271 .266 .266 .262 .260 .260 .259 .258 .255 .251 .251 .249 .249 .239
Opponents' Equivalent Average:
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
LAD HOU ARZ SFG MON CHC FLA PHI ATL COL PIT STL NYM MIL CIN SDP
.236 .244 .244 .249 .250 .252 .257 .258 .260 .265 .266 .267 .268 .276 .277 .281
Park Factors ((PF-1)*100, hitters' parks first):
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
COL MON ARZ HOU CIN PIT MIL STL CHC ATL SFG NYM PHI FLA LAD SDP
16.2 6.7 6.7 5.9 1.8 1.3 -.1 -1.4 -1.5 -1.8 -3.8 -4.3 -4.7 -4.8 -6.0 -7.6
Pythagorean WPct Extra Wins
( 1) ATL 96-66 .592 | ( 1) SFG 7
( 2) HOU 94-68 .579 | ( 2) CIN 6
( 3) SFG 93-68 .576 | ( 3) ATL 5
( 4) PHI 90-72 .558 | ( 4) FLA 4
( 5) STL 88-74 .544 | ( 5) CHC 3
( 6) FLA 87-75 .537 | ( 6) MON 3
( 7) CHC 85-77 .527 | ( 7) LAD 2
( 8) ARZ 84-78 .521 | ( 8) MIL 1
( 9) LAD 83-79 .515 | ( 9) ARZ 0
(10) MON 80-82 .497 | (10) PIT -1
(11) COL 78-84 .480 | (11) SDP -2
(12) PIT 76-86 .472 | (12) NYM -3
(13) NYM 69-92 .427 | (13) STL -3
(14) MIL 67-95 .411 | (14) COL -4
(15) SDP 66-96 .408 | (15) PHI -4
(16) CIN 63-99 .390 | (16) HOU -7
Note: PythagWPct = RF^1.83 / ( RF^1.83 + RA^1.83 )
where RF=Runs For and RA=Runs Against
Top 16 Hitters by EqA (minimum 362 plate appearances):
EqA BA OBP SLG R27 EqR R RBI HR SB CS PA
Barry Bonds SFG .401 .341 .529 .749 13.74 133 111 90 45 7 0 550
Albert Pujols STL .350 .359 .439 .667 9.99 140 137 124 43 5 1 685
Gary Sheffield ATL .332 .330 .419 .604 8.74 126 126 132 39 18 4 678
Javy Lopez ATL .330 .328 .378 .687 8.60 98 89 109 43 0 1 495
Todd Helton COL .326 .358 .458 .630 9.91 117 135 117 33 0 4 703
Vladim Guerrero MON .318 .330 .427 .586 8.55 78 71 79 25 9 5 468
Jim Edmonds STL .316 .275 .385 .617 7.78 94 89 89 39 1 3 530
Jim Thome PHI .313 .266 .385 .573 7.33 119 111 131 47 0 3 698
Brian Giles PIT .312 .299 .430 .521 7.74 76 70 70 16 0 3 481
Chipper Jones ATL .307 .305 .403 .517 7.19 103 103 106 27 2 2 657
Marcus Giles ATL .305 .316 .390 .526 7.06 99 101 69 21 14 4 625
Bobby Abreu PHI .304 .300 .409 .468 6.80 107 99 101 20 22 9 695
Scott Rolen STL .302 .286 .382 .528 6.93 103 98 104 28 13 3 657
Cliff Floyd NYM .302 .290 .376 .518 6.72 66 57 68 18 3 0 425
Richie Sexson MIL .301 .272 .379 .548 6.94 112 97 124 45 2 3 718
Derrek Lee FLA .301 .271 .379 .508 6.62 101 91 92 31 21 8 643
Top 16 Starting Pitchers by REqA (minimum 126.0 innings pitched):
W L ERA REqA CEqA DEqA dH IP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9
Jason Schmidt SFG 17 5 2.34 .204 .203 .223 -18 207.7 6.6 2.0 .6 9.0
Mark Prior CHC 18 6 2.43 .215 .226 .217 12 211.3 7.8 2.1 .6 10.4
Curt Schilling ARZ 8 9 2.95 .216 .218 .216 4 168.0 7.7 1.7 .9 10.4
Brandon Webb ARZ 10 9 2.84 .219 .218 .232 -12 180.7 7.0 3.4 .6 8.6
Kevin Brown LAD 14 9 2.39 .219 .228 .231 -3 211.0 7.8 2.4 .5 7.9
Roy Oswalt HOU 10 5 2.97 .224 .234 .243 -5 127.3 8.2 2.0 1.1 7.6
Livan Hernandez MON 15 10 3.20 .227 .241 .247 -6 233.3 8.7 2.2 1.0 6.9
Kerry Wood CHC 14 11 3.20 .228 .237 .248 -10 211.0 6.5 4.3 1.0 11.3
Javier Vazquez MON 13 12 3.24 .230 .227 .233 -5 230.7 7.7 2.2 1.1 9.4
Kip Wells PIT 10 9 3.28 .231 .244 .264 -20 197.3 7.8 3.5 1.1 6.7
Dontrell Willis FLA 14 6 3.30 .234 .246 .247 1 160.7 8.3 3.2 .7 8.0
Josh Beckett FLA 9 8 3.04 .235 .246 .233 11 142.0 8.4 3.5 .6 9.6
Jeff Suppan PIT 10 7 3.57 .235 .247 .249 -1 141.0 9.4 2.0 .7 5.0
Hideo Nomo LAD 16 13 3.09 .235 .243 .267 -26 218.3 7.2 4.0 1.0 7.3
Miguel Batista ARZ 10 9 3.54 .238 .243 .238 8 193.3 9.2 2.8 .6 6.6
Carlos Zambrano CHC 13 11 3.11 .239 .238 .244 -6 214.0 7.9 4.0 .4 7.1
Top 8 Relievers by REqA (minimum 50 innings or 10 saves):
W L ERA REqA CEqA DEqA dH IP H/9 BB/9 HR/9 K/9
John Smoltz ATL 0 2 1.12 .155 .182 .185 -1 64.3 6.7 1.1 .3 10.2
Eric Gagne LAD 2 3 1.20 .161 .129 .151 -4 82.3 4.0 2.2 .2 15.0
Billy Wagner HOU 1 4 1.78 .177 .186 .216 -11 86.0 5.4 2.4 .8 11.0
Rod Beck SDP 3 2 1.78 .183 .223 .257 -6 35.3 6.4 2.8 1.0 8.2
Rheal Cormier PHI 8 0 1.70 .186 .188 .234 -17 84.7 5.7 2.7 .4 7.1
Guillermo Mota LAD 6 3 1.97 .189 .208 .230 -10 105.0 6.7 2.2 .6 8.5
Danny Kolb MIL 1 2 1.96 .192 .230 .235 -1 41.3 7.4 4.1 .4 8.5
Paul Quantrill LAD 2 5 1.75 .194 .203 .235 -11 77.3 7.1 1.7 .2 5.1
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Glossary
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
---AL---
General:
Equivalent Average (EqA): corrects runs per 9 innings for park factor and
rescales so that .260 is average and .300 represents excellence every year:
EqA = ( (( R9 / PF ) / AvgR9) ^ 0.4 ) * .260
where R9 = Runs per 9 innings (defined differently in each section below)
PF = Park Factor (see explanation in Team section below)
AvgR9 = Average Runs per 9 innings in Year (see each section below)
^ 0.4 makes distribution much like batting average's
Note: Equivalent Average was invented by Clay Davenport as a 'hitter' stat.
My application of EqA to 'teams' and 'pitchers' may differ from what
he would do, and my formulas and park factors for 'hitters' differ,
but my resulting hitter EqAs are very similar in practice.
Estimated Runs Produced: ERP = 0.16*(3H+2D+4T+6HR+2BB+2HB+SB-0.623*(AB-H+CS)),
invented by Paul Johnson, more accurate than Bill James' runs created,
background info available at http://www.stephent.com/jays/erp.html
ERPAdj: ratio of league's Runs to ERP, always close to 1.0, .996 in 2003
ERPDisplay: ERP * ERPAdj -- this report's ERP columns are actually ERPDisplay
Age: as of July 1, 2003
Team Stats Glossary:
Runs Scored Per 9 IP: runs scored per 9 innings pitched by the team, not
against the team (the latter would be preferable but is harder to find).
For example, the Jays scored 894 runs, allowed 826 runs,
and pitched 1435.0 innings, from which the listed numbers were calculated.
Team Equivalent Average: in EqA formula above, R9 is team's runs scored per
9 IP, and AvgR9 is league average runs per 9 IP (4.92 in 2003)
Opponents' Equivalent Average: R9 is team's runs allowed per 9 IP
Park Factor (PF): divisor which corrects run totals for park effect;
Note: To not repeat 1.0 and 0.9 prefixes excessively, the listed numbers are
(PF-1)*100. For example, the park factor of 1.054 would be listed as 5.4.
To get the park factor (PF) from the listed number, divide it by 100 and add 1.
Hitting Stats Glossary:
Group1: hitters with 9 most plate appearances (more if tie for 9th in PA)
Group2: remaining hitters
L/R/S: bats Left, Right, or Switch
EqA: Equivalent Average, in formula above, R9 = R27 * ERPAdj (R27 defined below,
ERPAdj defined above), AvgR9 = 4.92 / 1.04 (estimate of Major League
average from 2003 American League average, 1.04 accounts for DH rule)
BA: Batting Average, (H/AB), inaccurate measure of batting ability (ignores
power, walks, stealing, park factor, league average), use EqA instead
OBP: On-Base Percentage, (H+BB+HBP)/(AB+BB+HBP+SF)
SLG: Slugging Average, (H+D+2T+3HR)/AB
R27: estimate of how many runs a lineup of that player would score in a game,
i.e. ERP per 27 outs, in 2003, 25.8*ERP/(AB-H+CS), average roughly 4.92
R27Display: R27 * ERPAdj -- this report's R27 columns are actually R27Display
EqR: Equivalent Runs, park-adjusted Estimated Runs Produced scaled so that
100 represents excellence every year, EqR=(ERPAdj*ERP/PF)*(4.50/AvgR9),
AvgR9 same as in hitter EqA, results similar to Clay Davenport's
R: Runs Scored
RBI: Runs Batted In, inaccurate measure of run production, use EqR instead
D: Doubles, T: Triples, HR: Home Runs, AB: At Bats, BB: Walks
SB: Stolen Bases, CS: Caught Stealing, HBP: Hit By Pitch
PA: Plate Appearances (AB+BB+HBP+SF)
Pitching Stats Glossary:
Starting Pitcher = at least one-third of appearances were starts
Group1: starting pitchers with 5 most starts
Group2: remaining starters
Group3: relief pitchers with 6 most relief appearances
Group4: remaining relievers
W: Wins, L: Losses, L/R: Left-hander or Right-hander
ERA: Earned Run Average (9*ER/IP), ER = Earned Runs allowed
RA: Run Average (9*R/IP), R = total Runs allowed
R27: ERP per 27 outs (9*ERP/IP, ERP estimated as below)
R27Display: R27 * ERPAdj -- this report's R27 columns are actually R27Display
IP: Innings Pitched
DRA: R27 when replacing Hits with 0.300 * (estimatedAB - HR - K) + HR,
and adding the change in Hits to Outs recorded
dH: the difference in Hits (see DRA)
(the (not quite true) theory is that this number should be 0,
assuming an average quality defense, so a positive difference
is "unlucky", a negative difference is "lucky")
REqA: Opponents' Equivalent Average based on RA (.260 is average)
CEqA: Opponents' Equivalent Average based on R27 (.260 is average)
DEqA: Opponents' Equivalent Average based on DRA (.260 is average)
H/9: Hits Allowed per 9 innings
BB/9: Walks allowed per 9 innings
HR/9: Home Runs allowed per 9 innings
K/9: Strikeouts per 9 innings (9*K/IP)
ERP: Estimated Runs Produced against pitcher, estimated as follows:
AB: At Bats, estimated as 3*IP*(25.8/27)+H-CS, CS estimated as below
D: Doubles, estimated as .23*(H-HR) (based on 2003 AL average)
T: Triples, estimated as .11*D in 2003
SB: Stolen Bases, estimated as .058*(H+BB+HB-D-T-HR) in 2003
CS: Caught Stealing, estimated as .43*SB in 2003
ERP = 0.16*(3H+2D+4T+6HR+2BB+2HB+SB-0.623(AB-H+CS))
---NL---
General:
ERPAdj: ratio of league's Runs to ERP, always close to 1.0, .977 in 2003
Hitting Stats Glossary:
EqA: Equivalent Average, in formula above, R9 = R27 * ERPAdj (R27 defined below,
ERPAdj defined above), AvgR9 = 4.65 * 1.04 (estimate of Major League
average from 2003 National League average, 1.04 accounts for no DH rule)
R27: estimate of how many runs a lineup of that player would score in a game,
i.e. ERP per 27 outs, in 2003, 25.7*ERP/(AB-H+CS), average roughly 4.65
Pitching Stats Glossary:
ERP: Estimated Runs Produced against pitcher, estimated as follows:
AB: At Bats, estimated as 3*IP*(25.7/27)+H-CS, CS estimated as below
D: Doubles, estimated as .23*(H-HR) (based on 2003 NL average)
T: Triples, estimated as .11*D in 2003
SB: Stolen Bases, estimated as .052*(H+BB+HB-D-T-HR) in 2003
CS: Caught Stealing, estimated as .45*SB in 2003
ERP = 0.16*(3H+2D+4T+6HR+2BB+2HB+SB-0.623(AB-H+CS))
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Sources
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Most raw data is from Doug Steele's web site
http://www.rmi.net/~doug/2003.html and is unofficial.
Park factor data for 2003 and 2002 is from Robert Dudek of the Batter's Box
Baseball Blog: http://www.battersbox.ca/archives/00001050.shtml
Park factor data for 1999-2001 is from the STATS Major League Handbook 2002.
Games by position derived from data on the USA Today web site
http://www.usatoday.com/sports/baseball/sba/sba03gp.htm
Past minor league statistics for some Jays were looked up from
http://tsf.waymoresports.thestar.com/thestar/baseball/roster.cgi?Tor
Opening Day payrolls for 2003 are listed at
http://www.canoe.ca/BaseballMoneyMatters/salaries_team.html
Equivalent Average and Equivalent Runs are in the same spirit as described by
Clay Davenport in Baseball Prospectus 1997 Edition, Gary Huckabay, Clay
Davenport, Rany Jazayerli, Chris Kahrl, Joseph S. Sheehan,
http://www.baseballprospectus.com/
Estimated Runs Produced is described by Paul Johnson in the The Bill James
Baseball Abstract 1985.
DEqA and dH are inspired by the Defense Independent Pitching Stats work
of Voros McCracken (http://www.baseballstuff.com/fraser/articles/dips.html)
but my calculations contain differences.
I cannot guarantee that no errors were made in processing or presenting this
information.
--
Stephen Tomlinson http://www.stephent.com/jays/
mailto:stephent@magma.ca Ottawa, Ontario
"What is the evidence, and what does it mean?" (Bill James)
Last Updated: 2003 Oct 5
Comments are welcome at comments@stephent.com.